You've been watching the Visa Bulletin every month for 5 years. Then the date moves backwards. Here's what retrogression is, why it happens, and how to navigate the bureaucratic maze.
Congress has set a cap of 140,000 employment-based green cards per year. Within this, each preference category (EB-1, EB-2, EB-3) gets a percentage allocation, and each country is capped at 7% of the total annual limit (about 9,800 visas per country, per year).
For countries like India and China, where hundreds of thousands of people have petitions filed, 9,800 annual visas creates backlogs measured in decades. India's EB-2 backlog is currently estimated at 40–100+ years. This means almost all EB India applicants will wait far longer than the statutory 3-year H-1B period.
The Department of State publishes the monthly Visa Bulletin showing what priority dates are "current"—meaning a visa number is available for people with that date or earlier. When demand exceeds the annual supply for a category/country combination, the State Department controls the flow by advancing or retrogresssing dates.
Since 2015, the Visa Bulletin has published two separate cutoff date charts:
| Chart | Name | Used For | When Available |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chart A | Final Action Dates | USCIS can APPROVE I-485 | Always published |
| Chart B | Dates for Filing | Can FILE I-485 | Only when USCIS announces its availability |
Chart B dates are typically 2–5 years ahead of Chart A dates. When USCIS allows Chart B use, it creates a window where you can file I-485 even if your date isn't current for final action. Filing gives you EAD, advance parole, and protection against status issues—even though USCIS won't approve the case until your Chart A date becomes current.
The DOS tracks visa number usage monthly. Early in the fiscal year (October–January), visa numbers are often available across categories and dates advance aggressively. By mid-year (February–April), if USCIS has processed more cases than DOS projected, the available supply runs short. DOS retrogresss dates to stay within the annual cap.
Retrogression also occurs when:
Sumit tracks visa bulletin movements, priority date trends, and employment-based green card policy changes, helping H-1B workers navigate the longest part of the immigration journey.