H1B Lottery Statistics 2026
The FY2026 H1B lottery had a 35.3% selection rate — the highest in five years — as the new $215 registration fee cut speculative filings by 56%. This page breaks down every key statistic: registrations, selections, country-of-birth data, employer approval rates, RFE trends, and premium processing usage.
H1B Lottery: Year-Over-Year Registration and Selection Data
The H1B lottery data shows a clear pattern: the introduction of the $215 registration fee in FY2026 reversed the runaway growth in filings that peaked at nearly 781,000 in FY2024. With fewer speculative registrations, selection odds improved dramatically for candidates with genuine job offers.
| Fiscal Year | Registrations | Selected | Selection Rate | Reg. Fee |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | 308,613 | 87,500 | 28.3% | $10 |
| FY2022 | 308,613 | 87,500 | 28.3% | $10 |
| FY2023 | 483,927 | 127,600 | 26.4% | $10 |
| FY2024 | 780,884 | 110,791 | 14.2% | $10 |
| FY2025 | 470,342 | 114,017 | 24.3% | $10 |
| FY2026 | 343,981 | 118,660 | 35.3% | $215 |
Understanding the 85,000 Cap Structure
The H1B annual cap is set at 85,000 visas: 65,000 for the regular cap and 20,000 reserved for holders of a US master's degree or higher (the Advanced Degree Exemption or "master's cap"). USCIS runs two separate lotteries each year — the master's lottery first, then the regular lottery for all remaining registrations.
Regular Cap (65,000)
Open to all eligible beneficiaries regardless of degree level. US master's degree holders who are not selected in the master's lottery are moved into this pool.
FY2026 approximate fill: 65,000 slots
Advanced Degree Exemption (20,000)
Reserved exclusively for beneficiaries with a US master's degree or higher. Provides a statistical advantage — master's holders effectively enter two lotteries.
FY2026 approximate fill: 20,000 slots
Country of Birth Breakdown
H1B lottery selection is random and nationality-neutral — every registrant has the same statistical odds per registration. The country breakdown reflects where H1B workers are born, not differential selection rates. India dominates due to the large volume of Indian-born engineers and IT professionals in the US workforce.
| Country of Birth | Share of Registrations | Est. FY2026 Selections | Green Card Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| India | ~72% | ~85,435 | Longest per-country backlog; many wait 50+ years for green card |
| China | ~12% | ~14,239 | Second largest group; multi-year EB-2/EB-3 backlog |
| Rest of World | ~16% | ~18,986 | No per-country backlog for most nationalities |
H1B Approval Rates by Employer Type
Approval rates and RFE rates vary significantly by employer type. Big Tech companies and established enterprises see near-universal approvals because they file well-documented petitions with strong specialty occupation evidence and above-prevailing-wage salaries. Staffing and body-shop employers face much higher RFE rates due to third-party placement issues and wage-level questions.
| Employer Type | Approval Rate | RFE Rate | Examples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big Tech (FAANG+) | 98%+ | 2% | Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Apple |
| Large Consulting (Big 4) | 95% | 5% | Deloitte, PwC, EY, KPMG |
| Mid-size IT Consulting | 89% | 12% | Cognizant, Infosys, TCS, Wipro |
| Staffing / Body Shop | 72% | 28% | Higher scrutiny for placement-based roles |
| Universities (Cap-Exempt) | 97% | 3% | No lottery; file any time |
| Hospitals / Healthcare | 93% | 7% | Generally strong specialty occupation evidence |
| Startups (<50 employees) | 81% | 18% | More RFEs on specialty occupation and ability to pay |
Source: USCIS H1B Employer Data Hub annual reports
H1B RFE and Denial Rates by Year
H1B RFE (Request for Evidence) rates peaked in FY2019 at over 40% under highly restrictive adjudication policies. Following policy changes in 2021, rates fell dramatically and have stabilized in the 17–20% range. Denial rates similarly dropped from over 21% to under 5% by FY2024. A slight uptick in FY2025 reflects new scrutiny under updated specialty occupation guidance.
| Fiscal Year | RFE Rate | Denial Rate | Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2019 | 40.1% | 21% | Peak under restrictive adjudication |
| FY2020 | 35.6% | 18% | COVID disruptions |
| FY2021 | 25.4% | 13% | Policy reversal under new administration |
| FY2022 | 20.1% | 4% | Continued improvement |
| FY2023 | 18.3% | 3.8% | Stable low rates |
| FY2024 | 17.6% | 3.5% | Lowest in a decade |
| FY2025 | 19.2% | 4.1% | Slight uptick amid policy reviews |
Premium Processing Usage Trends
Premium processing usage has been rising steadily, with over half of all H1B petitions now filed with the I-907 at $2,805. The trend reflects employer willingness to pay for certainty, particularly as standard processing times have stretched to 3–6 months in recent years. Premium processing guarantees a 15 business day response (not necessarily approval, but an action—approval, RFE, or denial).
| Fiscal Year | % Filed w/ Premium | Avg Standard Processing (Months) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | 38% | 2.8 |
| FY2023 | 42% | 3.1 |
| FY2024 | 47% | 3.4 |
| FY2025 | 51% | 4.0 |
What FY2026 Statistics Mean for Your Application?
A 35% selection rate means filing quality matters more than luck
When nearly 1 in 3 registrations is selected, the bottleneck has shifted from the lottery to the petition. The employers and candidates who have invested in strong documentation, proper prevailing wage compliance, and well-defined specialty occupation arguments will convert their selections into approvals at higher rates.
Staffing agency sponsorship carries measurably higher risk
The 28% RFE rate for staffing employers versus 2% for Big Tech reflects USCIS scrutiny of employer-employee relationships in placement scenarios. If you have the option to seek direct employer sponsorship versus a staffing agency, the data strongly favors direct employment from an approval-rate standpoint.
Premium processing has become near-standard for business-critical hires
With over half of petitions now using premium processing, the $2,805 fee is increasingly being treated as standard cost of doing business. For candidates with expiring OPT or travel needs, it is nearly essential.
The per-country green card backlog is worsening, not improving
While the H1B lottery has become more favorable, the downstream pathway to permanent residence for Indian and Chinese nationals remains extremely constrained. Candidates from these countries should begin exploring EB-1A or EB-2 NIW self-petition strategies early in their H1B tenure.
Frequently Asked Questions
Official Data Sources
Related Guides & Tools
Authority Sources
- USCIS H-1B Cap Announcements — Official USCIS lottery data at
- DOL LCA Performance Data — DOL filing statistics at
Balaji Ingole
SMIEEE · FBCS · FIETE | 16+ years data engineering | 30+ peer-reviewed papers
Balaji built H1BVisaJobs.com on 10 GB+ of DOL LCA disclosure data (FY2022–FY2025). All immigration data and analysis on this site comes from primary government sources. Read full bio →